House prices in Scotland grow at twice the rate of the UK average

Published: 18 December 2019

Monthly UK House Price Index figures released for October 2019.

Three key figures for October:

  • £153,692
    The average price of a property in Scotland
  • 1.4%
    The annual price change of a property in Scotland
  • -0.9%
    The monthly price change of a property in Scotland

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is included.

The latest provisional statistics from the UK House Price Index (HPI) show that the average price of a property in Scotland in October 2019 was £153,692 – an increase of 1.4 per cent on October in the previous year.

Comparing with the previous month, house prices in Scotland fell by 0.9 per cent between September 2019 and October 2019.

The UK average house price was £232,944 which was an increase of 0.7 per cent on October in the previous year and a decrease of 0.7 per cent on the previous month.

The volume of residential sales in Scotland in August 2019 was 9,987, a decrease of 4.0 per cent on the original provisional estimate for August 2018. This compares with a decrease of 4.1 per cent in England, 2.5 per cent in Wales and an increase of 4.9 per cent in Northern Ireland (Quarter 3 – 2019 compared with quarter in previous year).

Commenting on the release, Accountable Officer Janet Egdell said:

Scotland’s house prices grew at twice the rate of the UK in the year to October 2019. While house prices in the UK rose by 0.7% over the period, Scotland saw a rise of 1.4%. However the average house price in Scotland was £153,692 whereas in England the average price stood at £248,939, in London the average was £472,232.

Prices vary across Scotland, with the highest-priced area to purchase a property being City of Edinburgh, where the average price was £270,508, and the lowest-priced area being East Ayrshire, where the average price was £98,165.

In Scotland, semi-detached showed the largest increase, rising by 3.5% in the year to October 2019 to £163,884. Detached houses showed the smallest increase, rising by 0.1% to £265,710.

Average price increases were recorded in the majority (26) of local authorities, when comparing prices with the previous year. The largest increase was in Falkirk, where the average price increased by 5.5 per cent to £129,540. The largest decrease was recorded in City of Aberdeen, where the average price fell by 6.6 per cent to £146,225.

Local authority estimates are based on a three-month moving average to reduce volatility.

Annual price changes October 2019

Map of Scotland showing annual percentage change in average residential price by local authority.

In October 2019, the highest-priced area to purchase a property was City of Edinburgh, where the average price was £270,508. In contrast, the lowest-priced area to purchase a property was East Ayrshire, where the average price was £98,165.

Average prices October 2019

Map show of Scotland showing average residential price by local authority in October 2019

Further information on HPI Scotland by local authority, property type, first time buyers and cash sales can be found in the latest HPI Scotland publication.

As with other indicators in the housing market, which typically fluctuate from month-to-month, it is important not to put too much weight on one month’s set of house price data.

Notes to editors

  1. Registers of Scotland is the public body responsible for compiling and maintaining registers relating to property and other legal documents in Scotland. Registers of Scotland records and safeguards the rights of the individual while providing open access to information on the registers.
  2. The UK HPI is published on the second or third Wednesday of each month with Northern Ireland figures updated quarterly. See the calendar of release dates.
  3. The statistics have been produced in accordance with the Code of Practice for Statistics. The UK House Price Index is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. The UK HPI was designated as National Statistics by the Office for Statistics Regulation on 18 September 2018.
  4. Registers of Scotland provides data on residential property sales for the Scotland element of the UK House Price Index. Separate HPI releases are also published by HM Land Registry and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland, which focus on the figures for England and Wales and for Northern Ireland. The Office for National Statistics also publishes a monthly HPI statistical bulletin with commentary on the whole of the UK.
  5. Details of all of our property statistics releases and future publication dates are available on our website. A comparison guide comparing the different house price index measures that are published in the UK is also available.
  6. Information on individual property purchase prices is available for free via our ScotLIS service.
  7. Sign up for our data stats alert service.

Footnotes

  1. All average prices reported from the UK HPI are geometric means, which will typically be closer to the median than the arithmetic mean.
  2. Due to there being a period of 2 to 8 weeks between completion and registration of sales, volume figures based on the month of date of entry are presented up to August because September and October 2019 figures are likely to change when more recent sales applications data are received.
  3. Comparison between the latest provisional estimate for August 2019 with the original provisional estimate for August 2018 as recorded before final figures available. The final revised volume of sales in August 2018 was 10,536, an annual decrease of 5.2 per cent in August 2019. However, the sales volume for August 2019 is still subject to revision, and will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.
  4. Shetland Islands, Na h-Eileanan Siar and Orkney Islands increased by 9.2 per cent, 7.8 per cent and 6.8 per cent respectively. Local authority areas where sales volumes within the 12 months to August 2019 represent less than 1 per cent of the all Scotland sales volume are excluded from the figures used for highlighting purposes due to the volatility of the market in these areas

Media contact

Andy Richardson
PR manager
andy.richardson@ros.gov.uk
T: 0131 2003994 | M: 07795 644218